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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | MK Dons |
| 35.47% ( | 25.34% ( | 39.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( | 47.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( | 69.54% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( | 25.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( | 60.88% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.19% |