EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Dales Lane

Bromley
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Amantchi (19')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kelly (24'), Pigott (61')
Reeves (58'), Hippolyte (62'), Johnson (83'), Maycock (89')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Bromley and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bromley

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-2 Colchester
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Bromley win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
Bromley	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
34.92% ( 0.09)	26.19% ( 0.02)	38.88% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.44% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.88% (

-0.09)

51.12% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03% (

-0.08)

72.97% (

0.08)

Bromley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

0.01)

28.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

0.01)

63.68% (

-0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

-0.1)

25.75% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

-0.13)

60.68% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Bromley 34.92%

AFC Wimbledon 38.88%

Draw 26.19%

Bromley	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.92%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.88%