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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 41.2% ( | 26% ( | 32.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% | 50.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% | 72.6% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( | 24.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( | 58.72% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( | 29.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.91% ( | 65.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.8% |