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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 41.52% ( | 26.43% ( | 32.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( | 52.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( | 74.33% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( | 25.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% ( | 59.74% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( | 30.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.05% |