Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
31.61% ( 0.38)	21.53% ( 0.12)	46.85% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 69.22% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.91% (

-0.38)

30.09% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.7% (

-0.46)

51.3% (

0.46)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

0.01)

19.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02% (

0.02)

51.98% (

-0.02)

Liverpool Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

-0.3)

13.61% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.25% (

-0.61)

40.75% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 31.61%

Liverpool Under-21s 46.85%

Draw 21.53%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.61%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.85%