EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham
2 - 1
Crewe

Nombe (55'), Odofin (86')
Raggett (1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Holicek (50')
Lunt (54')

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Rotherham United and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
29.86% ( 3.34)	23.87% ( 0.79)	46.28% ( -4.13)

Both teams to score 59.46% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.55% (

-1.38)

42.45% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.15% (

-1.4)

64.85% (

1.4)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

1.63)

26.99% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

2.08)

62.34% (

-2.07)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

-2.11)

18.55% (

2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

-3.68)

49.8% (

3.69)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 29.86%

Crewe Alexandra 46.28%

Draw 23.86%

Rotherham United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.59) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.86%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.55) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.4) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.28%