EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Rotherham2 - 1Crewe
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Rotherham United and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
29.86% ( 3.34) | 23.87% ( 0.79) | 46.28% ( -4.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
