League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 0
Morecambe

Hemmings (43' pen.)
Tracey (9'), Williams (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Songo'o (71'), Angol (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Morecambe
41.63% ( 0.01)	25.47% ( -0)	32.9% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.39% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.01)

48.41% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

0.01)

70.54% (

-0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

0.01)

23.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05% (

0.02)

56.96% (

-0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.03% (

27.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.4% (

63.61% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 41.63%

Morecambe 32.9%

Draw 25.47%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.63%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.9%