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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
The DW Stadium
Morecambe

Wigan
1 - 2
Morecambe

Hugill (63' pen.)
McHugh (80'), Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macadam (12'), Angol (65')
Angol (42'), Macadam (66'), Tollitt (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Wigan Athletic and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Newport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMorecambe
53.33% (0.292 0.29)24.48% (-0.213 -0.21)22.19% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.28% (0.529 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.753 0.75)51.2% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.656 0.66)73.04% (-0.657 -0.66)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.404 0.4)19.14% (-0.408 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (0.668 0.67)50.79% (-0.67 -0.67)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.343 0.34)37.81% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (0.334 0.33)74.59% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 53.32%
    Morecambe 22.19%
    Draw 24.47%
Wigan AthleticDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.32%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Wigan vs Morecambe

Wigan Athletic
84.9%
Draw
9.4%
Morecambe
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Wigan
4-1
Morecambe
Magennis (19'), Kerr (44'), Keane (67'), Humphrys (68')
Connolly (49' pen.)
Stockton (75')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-2
Wigan
Stockton (7')
McLaughlin (90')
Keane (45+1'), Humphrys (73')
Watts (70')
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