League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 1
Wigan

May (18'), Wright (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aasgaard (66')
Tickle (69'), Maloney (70'), Kerr (82'), McManaman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Fulham
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Wigan Athletic
37.76% ( -0.05)	26.94% ( 0.01)	35.29% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0.03)

54.18% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0.02)

75.59% (

0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.04)

27.81% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-0.06)

63.4% (

0.06)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

0.02)

29.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

0.02)

65.25% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 37.76%

Wigan Athletic 35.29%

Draw 26.94%

Birmingham City	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.76%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.29%