Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.