Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
32.62% ( -2.26)	27.04% ( 0.57)	40.35% ( 1.69)

Both teams to score 50.26% (

-2.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05% (

-2.67)

54.95% (

2.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

-2.25)

76.23% (

2.26)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

-2.79)

31.41% (

2.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

-3.36)

67.78% (

3.36)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

-0.31)

26.72% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

-0.41)

61.98% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.62%

West Bromwich Albion 40.34%

Draw 27.03%

Birmingham City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.62%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 1.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.34%