EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Charlton0 - 1Birmingham
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Reading
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
40.83% ( 1.26) | 25.51% ( 0.11) | 33.66% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
