League Two

League Two | Gameweek 6

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
0 - 1
Crewe

Kelly (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (85')
Lankester (70'), Knight-Lebel (76')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
29.03% ( 0.13)	23.87% ( 0.01)	47.1% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

0.02)

42.96% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

0.02)

65.36% (

-0.01)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

0.09)

27.81% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

0.12)

63.4% (

-0.12)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

-0.05)

18.42% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42% (

-0.08)

49.59% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 29.03%

Crewe Alexandra 47.1%

Draw 23.87%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.03%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 47.1%