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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester United |
| 37.34% ( | 25.33% ( | 37.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( | 47.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( | 69.41% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( | 24.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( | 59.35% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( | 24.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( | 59.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.33% |