League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
2 - 0
Accrington

McGoldrick (18', 67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (16'), Awe (19'), Love (45+1'), Batty (63'), Quirk (65'), Whalley (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
55.7% ( -0.26)	20.84% ( 0.08)	23.46% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 64.34% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.59% (

-0.19)

33.41% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.8% (

-0.22)

55.19% (

0.22)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

-0.14)

12.09% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.37% (

-0.29)

37.63% (

0.29)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.03)

26.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

0.04)

62.1% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Notts County 55.7%

Accrington Stanley 23.46%

Draw 20.84%

Notts County	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.84%	1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 23.46%