League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 18' goal
  • David McGoldrick 67' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Walton 16'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 19'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 63'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Quirk 65'
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 86'

Notts County vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Accrington 1 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ben Woods

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 55.7% (-0.27)
Draw 20.84% (+0.09)
Accrington Stanley 23.46% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.34% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.59% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 33.41% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 44.8% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 55.19% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 26.13% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 73.87% (+0.19)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 87.91% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 12.09% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 62.37% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 37.63% (+0.29)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 73.19% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.81% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.9% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.1% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Notts County 55.7%
Draw 20.84%
Accrington Stanley 23.46%
Notts County
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.24% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.84%
Accrington Stanley
1-2 @ 5.93% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 23.46%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Shaun Whalley 17' goal
  • Connor O'Brien 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Nolan 79' goal
  • Brad Hills 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jim O'Brien 4'
  • goal Alassana Jatta 45'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 71'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Dan Crowley 7' goal
  • Jodi Jones 22' yellowcard
  • Aaron Nemane 61' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 64' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 90' goal
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Richard Brindley 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Andrews 27'
  • yellowcard Tommy Leigh 74'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 86'
League Two
Apr 2, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Hughes 9' goal
League Two
Aug 25, 2017 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Stead 33' goal
  • Jorge Grant 54' goal
  • Richard Duffy 58' yellowcard
  • Elliott Hewitt 63' yellowcard
  • Matt Tootle 91' yellowcard
  • Matt Tootle 91' redcard
  • goal Mark Hughes 58'
  • yellowcard Janoi Donacien 65'
  • redcard Mekhi Leacock-McLeod 66'
  • yellowcard Mallik Wilks 92'
  • goal Mallik Wilks 95'
League Two
Feb 4, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harvey Rodgers 45' goal
  • Noor Husin 80' goal
  • yellowcard Shola Ameobi 71'
League Two
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thierry Audel 21' yellowcard
  • Richard Duffy 28' yellowcard
  • goal John O'Sullivan 17'
  • yellowcard Janoi Donacien 31'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 54'
  • goal Romauld Boco 67'