Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Stockport County
30.48% ( 0.39)	24.33% ( 0.1)	45.19% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.76% (

-0.28)

44.24% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.38% (

-0.27)

66.62% (

0.27)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

0.12)

27.48% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

0.16)

62.97% (

-0.16)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.32)

19.72% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

-0.52)

51.73% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 30.48%

Stockport County 45.19%

Draw 24.32%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.48%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.19%