Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 52.36%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.