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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 52.36%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 52.36% ( | 23.78% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( | 46.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( | 68.87% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( | 17.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( | 48.48% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( | 70.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.36% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.86% |