Colchester United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
MK Dons

Colchester
2 - 1
MK Dons

Scully (41' pen.), Kelleher (54')
Kelleher (27'), McDonnell (35'), Bendle (79'), Hunt (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wearne (34')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Colchester United and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-3 Colchester
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMK Dons
31.55% (-1.298 -1.3)24.44% (-0.549 -0.55)44.02% (1.848 1.85)
Both teams to score 58.38% (1.38 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (2.03 2.03)44.27% (-2.031 -2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (1.943 1.94)66.65% (-1.944 -1.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (0.176 0.18)26.8% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (0.23 0.23)62.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (1.696 1.7)20.24% (-1.697 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (2.641 2.64)52.57% (-2.64 -2.64)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 31.55%
    MK Dons 44.02%
    Draw 24.44%
Colchester UnitedDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.611 -0.61)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6% (0.156 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.493 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.192 0.19)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.342 0.34)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.243 0.24)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.24 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.227 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.166 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.02%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Read (81'), Payne (90+4')
Flanagan (69'), Tovide (84')

Offord (15'), Tucker (27'), Gilbey (75')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
MK Dons
1-0
Colchester
Harrison (89')
Williams (47'), Williams (48'), Payne (55'), Dean (83')

Read (66')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Colchester
2-3
MK Dons
Taylor (10', 13')
Ihionvien (42'), Fevrier (45+2'), Chilvers (67'), Tchamadeu (81'), Egbo (85')
Eisa (8'), Gilbey (88'), Dennis (90+10')
Eisa (45+5'), Harvie (82'), Gilbey (84'), Grant (90+6')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
2-0
MK Dons
Szmodics (2'), Kent (47')
Kent (41'), Norris (92')

Agard (34'), Walker (87')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
MK Dons
0-1
Colchester

Pawlett (67'), D'Ath (89'), Gilbey (90')
Prosser (11')
Nouble (88'), Lapslie (90')