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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
| 33.78% ( | 26.42% ( | 39.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% ( | 52.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( | 73.95% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( | 29.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( | 25.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.78% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.8% |