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Carlisle United
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MK Dons
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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Morecambe

Harrogate
1 - 2
Morecambe

Daly (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (37'), Macadam (90+6')
Macadam (90+2'), Adams (91')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 0-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMorecambe
29.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 45.09% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (0.349 0.35)47.39% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (0.323 0.32)69.61% (-0.321 -0.32)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.187 0.19)29.42% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (0.227 0.23)65.42% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (0.175 0.17)21.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (0.27 0.27)53.86% (-0.269 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 29.94%
    Morecambe 45.09%
    Draw 24.97%
Harrogate TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.94%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.09%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Morecambe
2-2
Harrogate
Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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