League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 2
Morecambe

Daly (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (37'), Macadam (90+6')
Macadam (90+2'), Adams (91')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Worthing 0-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Morecambe
29.94% ( 0.01)	24.98% ( -0.08)	45.09% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.61% (

0.35)

47.39% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.39% (

0.32)

69.61% (

-0.32)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58% (

0.19)

29.42% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

0.23)

65.42% (

-0.23)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

0.17)

21.06% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

0.27)

53.86% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 29.94%

Morecambe 45.09%

Draw 24.97%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.94%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.09%