/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fharlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
-
James Daly
86'
-
Rhys Williams
37'
-
Derek Adams
91'
-
Harvey Macadam
90'+2'
-
Harvey Macadam
90'+6'
Harrogate Town vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
Result
Harrogate Town
29.94%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
24.98%
▼
(-0.08)
Morecambe
45.09%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
55.72%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.61%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
47.39%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 3.5
30.39%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 3.5
69.61%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 4.5
14.94%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 4.5
85.06%
▼
(-0.23)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5
70.58%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
29.42%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
34.58%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
65.42%
▼
(-0.23)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
78.95%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
21.06%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
46.14%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
53.86%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Harrogate Town
29.94%
Draw
24.97%
Morecambe
45.09%
Harrogate Town
1-0
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.94%
2-1 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.94%
Draw
1-1
@
11.8%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
0-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.97%
Morecambe
0-1
@
9.65%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.09%
1-2 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.09%
Farrend Rawson
64'