Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Harrogate Town

Crewe
1 - 0
Harrogate

Agius (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Crewe Alexandra and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawHarrogate Town
42.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)31.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.42% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.022000000000002 0.02)71.46% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)23.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.01400000000001 0.01)29.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.99% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 42.41%
    Harrogate Town 31.96%
    Draw 25.63%
Crewe AlexandraDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.96%

How you voted: Crewe vs Harrogate

Crewe Alexandra
96.9%
Draw
3.1%
Harrogate Town
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Crewe
3-0
Harrogate
Hemmings (7', 88'), Lankester (31')
Tabiner (46'), Lankester (68'), Knight-Lebel (87')

Gibson (28'), Cornelius (37'), Taylor (79')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crewe
0-0
Harrogate
Bell (8')
Cornelius (7'), Abu (42'), Thomson (67')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Harrogate
0-1
Crewe

Sutton (45'), McDonald (90+6'), Folarin (90+3')
Williams (31')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Harrogate
2-2
Crewe
Muldoon (34'), Olaigbe (52')
Agyei (83' pen.), Uwakwe (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Crewe
3-0
Harrogate
Agyei (44'), Mellor (45+3'), Baker-Richardson (77')
Sambou (65'), Uwakwe (81')