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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Crewe Alexandra

Newport
2 - 1
Crewe

Evans (33'), Baker (74')
Evans (22'), Glennon (45+6'), Baker (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thibaut (71')
Knight-Lebel (3'), Lankester (38'), Breckin (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Newport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.97%25.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)44.83%
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13%29.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.96% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44%21.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36%54.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 29.97%
    Crewe Alexandra 44.83%
    Draw 25.19%
Newport CountyDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 7.58%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.8%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.83%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
1-1
Crewe
Evans (64')
Long (48')
Williams (72')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
P-P
Newport