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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
| 40.31% ( | 26.86% | 32.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.8% ( | 54.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( | 75.61% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( | 26.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( | 30.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.83% |