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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Barrow |
| 49.55% ( | 23.49% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( | 65.03% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( | 47.72% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( | 29.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( | 65.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 26.96% |