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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 39.85% ( | 26.44% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% ( | 52.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( | 74.03% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( | 25.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.26% ( | 60.74% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( | 29.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( | 65.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.71% |