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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Tranmere Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 2
Tranmere

Patrick (7')
Jones (45+1'), Ellis (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Davies (7'), Patrick (37')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
43.47% (-0.002999999999993 -0)26.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)30.43%
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.73%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 43.46%
    Tranmere Rovers 30.43%
    Draw 26.1%
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.46%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Carlisle
2-0
Tranmere
Dennis (3', 39')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Carlisle
2-1
Tranmere
Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Byrne (82')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')