League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Omari Patrick 7' goal
  • Jordan Jones 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jack Ellis 85' yellowcard
  • goal Archie Davies 7'
  • goal Omari Patrick 37'

Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
MK Dons 3 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Tranmere 1 - 0 Walsall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 43.47% (-0.01)
Draw 26.1% (+0.01)
Tranmere Rovers 30.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.35% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.11% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.89% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.36% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.64% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.23% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.77% (+0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.73% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.14% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.86% (+0.01)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 68.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.36% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.27%
Under 1.5 67.73%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 43.46%
Draw 26.1%
Tranmere Rovers 30.43%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.1%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Kristian Dennis 3' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 39' goal
FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jordan Gibson 30' goal
  • Jayden Harris 66' goal
  • goal Neil Byrne 82'
League Two Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Prenton Park
  • goal Kristian Dennis 1'
  • goal Kristian Dennis 54'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kane Hemmings 15' goal
  • Calum MacDonald 40' redcard
  • Kane Hemmings 43' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 44' yellowcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 76' goal
  • Josh Cogley 88' yellowcard
  • Kieron Morris 90'+1' redcard
  • Joe Murphy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Peter Clarke 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dynel Simeu 43'
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 43'
  • goal Omari Patrick 55'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 64'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 90'+2'
  • goal Tobi Sho-Silva 90'+7'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zach Clough 37' yellowcard
  • goal Calum MacDonald 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Hawkes 65'
  • yellowcard Jay Spearing 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Joshua Kayode 3' goal
  • Nick Anderton 27' goal
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 12'
  • goal Kaiyne Woolery 21'
  • goal James Vaughan 43'
  • goal James Vaughan 88'