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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 43.47% ( | 26.1% ( | 30.43% |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( | 51.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( | 73.64% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( | 23.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( | 57.86% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( | 31.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5% ( 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.43% |