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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Gillingham |
| 50.44% ( | 23.05% ( | 26.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.01% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.62% ( | 63.38% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( | 16.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.94% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( | 28.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% ( | 64.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Gillingham |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.5% Total : 26.51% |