League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrie (77')

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Morecambe
58.91% ( 0.28)	22.95% ( 0.18)	18.14% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

-1.43)

50.09% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

-1.29)

72.06% (

1.29)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

-0.41)

16.68% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.44% (

-0.74)

46.56% (

0.73)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

-1.38)

41.5% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

-1.24)

78% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 58.9%

Morecambe 18.14%

Draw 22.95%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.9%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.14%