League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 1
Morecambe

Costelloe (36' pen., 45+1')
Rawson (51'), Costelloe (75'), O'Brien (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tollitt (86')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Morecambe
41.57% ( 0.06)	25.92% ( 0.22)	32.5% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

-1.03)

50.44% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

-0.92)

72.37% (

0.91)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97% (

-0.42)

24.03% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7% (

-0.6)

58.29% (

0.6)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.69)

29.22% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-0.86)

65.17% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 41.57%

Morecambe 32.51%

Draw 25.91%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.51%