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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 49.17% ( | 25.29% ( | 25.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( | 51.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( | 73.26% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( | 20.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( | 53.68% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( | 34.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( | 71.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.54% |