League Two

League Two | Gameweek 6

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 3
Fleetwood

Wyke (42' pen., 52')
Hayden (20'), Biggins (78'), Davies (79'), Jones (83')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Mayor (10', 10', 67'), Coughlin (19')
Helm (21'), Virtue (58'), Coughlin (77'), Johnston (87')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-3 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
38.14% ( 0.05)	26.2% ( -0.01)	35.65% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.91% (

0.01)

51.09% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.05% (

0.01)

72.94% (

-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

0.03)

26.14% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79% (

0.05)

61.21% (

-0.05)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

-0.02)

27.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

-0.03)

63.09% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 38.14%

Fleetwood Town 35.65%

Draw 26.2%

Carlisle United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.14%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.65%