/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
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Aaron Hayden
20'
-
Charlie Wyke
42'
-
Charlie Wyke
52'
-
Harrison Biggins
78'
-
Archie Davies
79'
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Jordan Jones
83'
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Danny Mayor
10'
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Danny Mayor
10'
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Ronan Coughlin
19'
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Mark Helm
21'
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Matty Virtue
58'
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Danny Mayor
67'
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Ronan Coughlin
77'
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Carl Johnston
87'
Carlisle United vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Carlisle United
38.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
26.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Fleetwood Town
35.65%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
53.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
51.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
27.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
72.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
12.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
87.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
73.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
26.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
38.79%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
61.21%
▼
(-0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
72.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
27.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
36.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
63.09%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
38.14%
Draw
26.2%
Fleetwood Town
35.65%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
9.67%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.14%
2-1 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.14%
Draw
1-1
@
12.45%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
9.29%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.65%
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.65%
