League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Utilita Energy Stadium

Bradford
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cook (2', 70')
Byrne (29'), Kelly (78'), Diabate (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (58')
Neal (20'), Barclay (64'), Davies (67'), McGeouch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Newcastle U21s (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.

Result
Bradford City	Draw	Carlisle United
54.41% ( 3.13)	23.81% ( -0.94)	21.78% ( -2.19)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.06% (

1.63)

48.93% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97% (

1.46)

71.02% (

-1.46)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.12% (

1.83)

17.88% (

-1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.34% (

3.07)

48.66% (

-3.07)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

-1.14)

36.94% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

-1.15)

73.72% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Bradford City 54.4%

Carlisle United 21.78%

Draw 23.81%

Bradford City	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.4%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.78%