League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Utilita Energy Stadium
  • Andy Cook 2' goal
  • Neil Byrne 29' yellowcard
  • Andy Cook 70' goal
  • Ciaran Kelly 78' yellowcard
  • Cheick Diabate 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harrison Neal 20'
  • goal Harrison Neal 58'
  • yellowcard Ben Barclay 64'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 67'
  • yellowcard Dylan McGeouch 81'

Bradford City vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 2 - 1 Bradford
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Andy Cook

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 2 Tranmere
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.

Result

Bradford City 54.41% (+3.13)
Draw 23.81% (-0.94)
Carlisle United 21.78% (-2.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.78% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.06% (+1.64)
Under 2.5 48.93% (-1.64)
Over 3.5 28.97% (+1.46)
Under 3.5 71.02% (-1.46)
Over 4.5 13.97% (+0.98)
Under 4.5 86.03% (-0.98)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5 82.12% (+1.84)
Under 0.5 17.88% (-1.84)
Over 1.5 51.34% (+3.07)
Under 1.5 48.66% (-3.07)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 63.06% (-1.14)
Under 0.5 36.94% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 26.27% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 73.72% (+1.16)

Score analysis

Bradford City 54.4%
Draw 23.81%
Carlisle United 21.78%
Bradford City
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 9.79% (+0.49)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 5.62% (+0.58)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 2.42% (+0.38)
4-1 @ 2.41% (+0.31)
4-2 @ 1.2% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.45)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 23.81%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.68)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.41)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.45)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.19)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 21.78%

Head to Head

League Two
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
ET Brunton Park
  • Brad Halliday 21' goal
  • Brad Halliday 21' goal
  • Callum Guy 98' goal
  • Ben Barclay 112' goal
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 106'
League Two
May 14, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jamie Walker 18' goal
League Two Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Utilita Energy Stadium
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Paul Huntington 34' goal
League Two Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lee Angol 13' goal
  • Jamie Walker 69' goal
  • Callum Cooke 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Corey Whelan 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 67'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 80'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Omotoye 86'
League Two Gameweek 22
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jordan Gibson 45' goal
  • Omari Patrick 87' goal
  • yellowcard Yann Songo'o 64'
  • yellowcard Lee Angol 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 90'+4'