Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
47.1% ( 0.16)	23.2% ( 0.09)	29.69% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 61.73% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58% (

-0.59)

39.41% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24% (

-0.62)

61.75% (

0.61)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-0.16)

17.04% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

-0.29)

47.2% (

0.29)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-0.46)

25.58% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

-0.63)

60.46% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 47.1%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 29.69%

Draw 23.2%

Carlisle United	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.14% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.69%