Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.1%) and 1-3 (5.05%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.