Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.37%) and 3-2 (4.87%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.