Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.35%) and 3-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.