Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 2-3 (4.88%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.