Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.91%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.