Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.91%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
31.48% ( 0.17)	19.64% ( -0.01)	48.88% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 76.64% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.33% (

0.15)

20.66% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.96% (

0.21)

39.03% (

-0.22)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.15)

15.24% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.07% (

0.29)

43.92% (

-0.3)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.42% (

0.01)

9.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.97% (

0.03)

32.02% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 31.48%

Manchester City Under-21s 48.88%

Draw 19.64%

Manchester United Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.71% Total : 31.48%	2-2 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.64%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.54% Total : 48.88%