Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd U21s
2 - 4
Derby U21s

Baumann (31'), Williams (68')
Murray (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Weston (23', 38'), Allen (44'), Fapetu (45+2')
Bardell (41'), Robinson (67')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 2-1 Man City U21s
Monday, February 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-3 Blackburn U21s
Monday, February 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.59%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
59.59% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)18.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.02% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 71.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.98% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.01% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.72% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)42.27% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)7.94% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)28.04% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (0.019000000000005 0.02)55.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Under-21s 59.59%
    Derby County Under-21s 22.02%
    Draw 18.39%
Manchester United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.75% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 6.68% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.39%
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.05%
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 22.02%

rhs 2.0


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