Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 13.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham Under-21s in this match.

Result
Fulham Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
70.64% ( -0.1)	15.59% ( 0.04)	13.77% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 65.5% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.02% (

-0.07)

23.98% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.43% (

-0.1)

43.57% (

0.1)

Fulham Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87% (

-0.03)

6.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.75% (

-0.1)

23.25% (

0.1)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

0.02)

30.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.02)

66.39% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fulham Under-21s 70.64%

Derby County Under-21s 13.77%

Draw 15.59%

Fulham Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.81% 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.73% Total : 70.64%	1-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 15.59%	1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 13.77%