Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 3
Blackburn U21s

Ward (36')
Robinson (21'), Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Paniek (44'), Gilsenan (45+1', 76')
Olsen (35'), Haddow (81')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Blackburn Rovers Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: WBA U21s 0-1 Derby U21s
Monday, February 12 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Blackburn Rovers Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham U21s 1-2 Blackburn U21s
Friday, February 9 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 2-3 (5.27%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawBlackburn Rovers Under-21s
32.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)20.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.99% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 74.49% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.44% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.99% (-0.067 -0.07)43% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)45.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)11.13% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.43% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)35.56% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 32.66%
    Blackburn Rovers Under-21s 46.99%
    Draw 20.34%
Derby County Under-21sDrawBlackburn Rovers Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 32.66%
2-2 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-1 @ 7.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 5.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 46.99%

rhs 2.0


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