Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 18, 2024 at 1pm UK
Academy of Light Training Ground

Sunderland U21s
2 - 3
Newcastle U21s

Evans (38'), Ryder (90+5')
Jones (25'), Chiabi (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Crossley (5', 63'), Heffernan (44')
Crossley (75'), Diallo (86'), Thompson (87'), Parkinson (90+6')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Sunderland Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City U21s 2-2 Sunderland U21s
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-7 Chelsea U21s
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 0-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
35.77% (0.111 0.11)21.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)42.48% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Both teams to score 70.05% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.36% (0.126 0.13)29.64% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.24% (0.153 0.15)50.75% (-0.153 -0.15)
Sunderland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.10899999999999 0.11)17.64% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.186 0.19)48.25% (-0.187 -0.19)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (0.016000000000005 0.02)14.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.66% (0.029999999999994 0.03)43.33% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland Under-21s 35.77%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 42.48%
    Draw 21.74%
Sunderland Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 4.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.77%
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 7.17% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 2.16% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.48%

Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 1pm
Sunderland U21s
2-1
Newcastle U21s
Bennette (64'), Johnson (87')
Scott (49')
Oct 31, 2022 7pm