Premier League 2 - Div 1
May 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Hogwood Park Training Ground

Reading U21s
2 - 0
Boro U21s

Akande (67')
Carson (7'), Akande (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matthews (26'), Bilongo (62'), Gitau (90+3'), Howells (90+10'), Howells (99+10')
Matthews (90+6')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Reading Under-21s and Middlesbrough Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Reading U21s 3-0 Man City U21s
Friday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 2-3 Palace U21s
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Reading Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
45.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)21.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)32.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 70.71% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.59% (0.064999999999998 0.06)28.41% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08)49.25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Reading Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.034999999999997 0.03)13.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.07 0.07)40.12% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.45% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (0.035000000000004 0.04)49.63% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Reading Under-21s 45.86%
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 32.82%
    Draw 21.32%
Reading Under-21sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 8.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 7.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 2.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 32.82%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2023 7pm
Reading U21s
2-2
Boro U21s
Wellens (19'), Tuma (40')
Okine-Peters (85')
Matthews (14' pen., 21')
Wheaton (6'), Bridge (45+2'), Matthews (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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