Fleetwood Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Aston Villa U21s

Coughlin (53'), Odubeko (59')
Lynch (38'), Smith (61'), Hughes (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Buendia (28', 40'), Pierre (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Fleetwood Town and Aston Villa Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawAston Villa Under-21s
53.7% (-1.044 -1.04)20.78% (0.285 0.29)25.52% (0.76 0.76)
Both teams to score 67.1% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (-0.634 -0.63)30.86% (0.634 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (-0.76 -0.76)52.23% (0.76 0.76)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (-0.496 -0.5)11.81% (0.496 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95% (-1.074 -1.07)37.04% (1.075 1.08)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (0.173 0.17)23.91% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (0.251 0.25)58.12% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 53.7%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 25.52%
    Draw 20.78%
Fleetwood TownDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.7% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.159 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Aston Villa U21s

Fleetwood Town
79.5%
Draw
5.1%
Aston Villa Under-21s
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Fleetwood
3-0
Aston Villa U21s
Saunders (3', 4', 15')
Matete (63'), Smith (75')

Revan (26'), Barry (75')