Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.