Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
St. James' Park

Newcastle U21s
0 - 1
Aston Villa U21s


Stanton (22'), Stephenson (31'), Heffernan (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Swinkels (43')
Emery (45+2'), Alcock (48'), Patterson (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-2 Newcastle U21s
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-4 Norwich U21s
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 2-3 (5.56%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
24.4% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)18.78% (0.261 0.26)56.82% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 73.71% (-1.044 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.94% (-1.266 -1.27)22.06% (1.268 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.03% (-1.76 -1.76)40.98% (1.765 1.76)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (-0.742 -0.74)19.69% (0.746 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-1.225 -1.23)51.68% (1.227 1.23)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.78% (-0.444 -0.44)8.22% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.23% (-1.126 -1.13)28.77% (1.128 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 24.4%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 56.82%
    Draw 18.78%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 2.14% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.22% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.4%
2-2 @ 6.67% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-1 @ 6.57% (0.314 0.31)
3-3 @ 3.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 1.62% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 18.78%
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.217 0.22)
1-3 @ 6.84% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 5.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.248 0.25)
1-4 @ 4.27% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.21% (0.117 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.282 0.28)
2-4 @ 3.47% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.13% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-4 @ 1.88% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-5 @ 1.73% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-5 @ 0.94% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 56.82%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 7pm
Newcastle U21s
0-2
Aston Villa U21s
Feeney (23'), Firth (49')
Oct 14, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
1-2
Newcastle U21s
Shakpoke (45+4')
White (24'), Scott (59')