Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.31%) and 3-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
43.5% ( -0.53)	20.19% ( 0.08)	36.3% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 76.42% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.39% (

-0.29)

21.61% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.64% (

-0.4)

40.35% (

0.4)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.62% (

-0.27)

11.38% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.88% (

-0.59)

36.11% (

0.59)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.03)

13.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.94% (

0.07)

41.06% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 43.5%

Aston Villa Under-21s 36.3%

Draw 20.2%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.2% Total : 43.5%	2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.2%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 36.3%