Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 41%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.07%) and 2-3 (4.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.