Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Blue Flames Ground

Newcastle U21s
0 - 2
Leeds U21s


Miley (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (67' pen., 80')
Coleman (90+5')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-3 Fulham U21s
Saturday, April 13 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Leeds U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Monday, April 15 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
24.8% (0.286 0.29)19.41% (0.025000000000002 0.03)55.78% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 71.64% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.22% (0.188 0.19)24.78% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.36% (0.245 0.24)44.63% (-0.252 -0.25)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.291 0.29)21.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (0.45500000000001 0.46)53.79% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)9.31% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.41% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 24.81%
    Leeds United Under-21s 55.78%
    Draw 19.41%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.025 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 7.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.76% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.96% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 5.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.36% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 55.78%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2023 7pm
Nov 7, 2022 1pm
Leeds U21s
4-2
Newcastle U21s
Moore (2'), Dean (49', 51', 67')
Scott (8'), Barclay (63')