Premier League 2 - Div 1

Apr 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds U21s
3 - 0
Derby U21s

Snowdon (22', 25'), Lopata-White (31')
Lopata-White (47'), Allen (87'), Moore (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Keilen (30'), Radcliffe (73')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Forest U21s 4-0 Leeds U21s
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham U21s 3-2 Derby U21s
Friday, April 5 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.4%) and 3-1 (5.25%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
43.51% ( 0.03)	19.84% ( -0)	36.66% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 77.95% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.25% (

0.02)

19.75% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.27% (

0.02)

37.73% (

-0.02)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.37% (

0.02)

10.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.54% (

0.03)

34.46% (

-0.03)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.22%

12.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.94% (

-0.01)

39.06% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 43.51%

Derby County Under-21s 36.66%

Draw 19.84%

Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.02% 3-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.51%	2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 1-1 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 3.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.84%	1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.95% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.9% 2-5 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.66%