Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.06% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.