Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.16%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
32.84% ( -0.16)	20.57% ( 0.03)	46.58% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 73.67% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.37% (

-0.23)

24.63% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.56% (

-0.31)

44.43% (

0.3)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

-0.19)

16.62% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55% (

-0.33)

46.44% (

0.33)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

-0.05)

11.65% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.31% (

-0.11)

36.69% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 32.84%

Newcastle United Under-21s 46.58%

Draw 20.57%

Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.25% Total : 32.84%	1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.58%